The impact of covid-19 is now diminishing significantly across most of Hampshire.
The number of new coronavirus cases being recorded daily is now falling rapidly in most areas of the county In the districts most relevant to the Candover Valley residents, namely Basingstoke & Deane, East Hampshire and Winchester, the daily number is now in single figures. In the local smaller areas, known as MSOAs, many have less than three active cases and the data is suppressed to avoid individuals being identified.
BDBC recorded nine active cases yesterday (27 Feb) compared to 22 two weeks earlier; East Hampshire had six against 13, and Winchester 8 compared to 13. In Hampshire as a whole, excluding Southampton, Portsmouth and the Isle of Wight, the number of new cases was 102 compared to 245 two weeks earlier.
In the MSOAs the latest numbers published refer to the position five days before the latest date: in Old Basing & the Candovers, which covers most of the valley, the number of active cases on a rolling seven-day basis was 4 and a rate of 51.7 per 100,000 of population. In Springvale &Itchen Abbas, which includes Northington, the number was 5 and a rate of 72.7, and Four Marks & Tisted which includes Lower and Upper Wield the number was 3 and a rate of 24.4. Both of these areas had less than 3 during the past week. Alresford, which had been in the “red” zone with 42 active cases and a rate of 496.4 per 100,000 inhabitants at 31 December, has had less than three active cases during the whole of the past week.
It is probably a reasonable assumption to say that the villages in Candover Valley itself have a negligible number of active cases currently as all three principal MSOAs contain areas with significantly larger populations and with activities requiring larger groups of people to work in them, increasing the chances of contact and infection.
The map above shows the situation in immediate area on 22 February. The area highlighted in a black line is that of Old Basing & the Candovers with a rate of 51.7 per 100k. All the white areas have less than three active cases.
Alresford back in the “red” zone with 42 active cases and a rate of 496.4 per 100,000 inhabitants at 31 December
| Coronavirus – percent of local population diagnosed at month end and current date | |||||||||||||
| Pop. | September | October | November | December | January | Feb 27 | |||||||
| No. | % | No. | % | No. | % | No. | % | No. | % | No. | % | ||
| Basingstoke | 176.56 | 1034 | 0.59% | 1542 | 0.87% | 2424 | 1.37% | 3860 | 2.19% | 7157 | 4.05% | 7823 | 4.43% |
| East Hants | 122.30 | 592 | 0.48% | 953 | 0.78% | 1506 | 1.23% | 2496 | 2.04% | 4277 | 3.50% | 4691 | 3.84% |
| Eastleigh | 133.56 | 493 | 0.37% | 1015 | 0.76% | 1650 | 1.24% | 2530 | 1.89% | 4781 | 3.58% | 5453 | 4.08% |
| Fareham | 116.24 | 373 | 0.32% | 727 | 0.63% | 1373 | 1.18% | 2425 | 2.09% | 4441 | 3.82% | 5010 | 4.31% |
| Gosport | 84.85 | 271 | 0.32% | 471 | 0.56% | 1050 | 1.24% | 1725 | 2.03% | 3236 | 3.81% | 3689 | 4.35% |
| Hart | 97.07 | 330 | 0.34% | 630 | 0.65% | 972 | 1.00% | 1978 | 2.04% | 3841 | 3.96% | 4143 | 4.27% |
| Havant | 126.22 | 453 | 0.36% | 777 | 0.62% | 1730 | 1.37% | 3585 | 2.84% | 6249 | 4.95% | 6786 | 5.38% |
| New Forest | 180.10 | 609 | 0.34% | 1167 | 0.65% | 1823 | 1.01% | 2753 | 1.53% | 5291 | 2.94% | 5888 | 3.27% |
| Rushmoor | 94.60 | 688 | 0.73% | 1123 | 0.62% | 1546 | 0.86% | 3301 | 1.83% | 7036 | 3.91% | 7557 | 4.20% |
| Test Valley | 126.16 | 607 | 0.48% | 1053 | 0.83% | 1509 | 1.20% | 2364 | 1.87% | 4477 | 3.55% | 5100 | 4.04% |
| Winchester | 124.84 | 556 | 0.45% | 1074 | 0.86% | 1711 | 1.37% | 2730 | 2.19% | 4343 | 3.48% | 4726 | 3.79% |
| County total | 1382.50 | 6006.00 | 0.43% | 10532.00 | 0.76% | 17294.00 | 1.25% | 29747.00 | 2.15% | 55129.00 | 3.99% | 60866.00 | 4.40% |
The table above shows the number of new cases recorded in each month and the percentage of the local population who have been infected.
See more details here - Coronavirus – weekly update 27 February 2021
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